Saturday, June 29, 2013

Don't let the research scare you.



Have you ever listened to a teacher or adult talk to a student who is thinking about quitting school and getting a GED?  If so, you probably heard the teacher try to convince the student that staying in school and graduating would be the smarter choice.  The teacher might offer a number of reasons for this, but it usually includes a claim that the diploma will get you a higher paying job than a GED.  Most teachers don’t really know whether this opinion is true or not.  They believe it because they finished high school and it seemed to work for them.  They also believe it because everyone else does.  Graduation is just something you have to do; nobody questions it.  

This popular belief is sometimes supported by research that you might read about in the news, or hear about from your guidance counselor.  It’s good to consider research when you are making a decision, but there are several reasons why you should think carefully before letting these studies discourage you.

The first thing you might consider is that experts who conduct this kind of research are typically very committed to the traditional education process.  Normally they are people who’ve done well in school and school has worked out well for them.  Most of the time they work very hard to be objective when doing their analyses, but they are still human and will be somewhat biased in favor of school when interpreting their findings. 

Such bias, however, is a relatively minor problem.  A more important concern is that most studies showing bad outcomes for people with GEDs are based on correlations.  A correlation means that two things happen together in a pattern.  In the case of GEDs there may be a pattern that people with a GED make less money than people with high school diplomas.  However, when you look at the details in individual people’s lives you realize that there is a lot going on that affects what kind of job a person has beyond what type of diploma they received.  It’s a classic case where “correlation does not imply causation.”  (Read more about this idea here and here.)  Because people believe that a diploma is better than a GED, they generally only choose to pursue a GED if they have struggles that make finishing high school very difficult.  Those same struggles have a tendency to affect work life as well as school. 

Another aspect of  research on GEDs is that they usually drop anyone from the analysis who goes to college.  If you get a GED and then go to college, the problems discovered by these kinds of studies won’t apply to you.  

One final concern to be aware of with research on GED outcomes is the age of the data used.  In order to do this kind of study effectively the researchers need information that tracks a large number of people over the course of at least several years.  Collecting data like this is expensive and takes a long time.  Consequently, it is not done very often and any analysis may be done using information that is too old to say very much about what the experiences and expectations of current high school students will be.

The bottom line is, if you are considering leaving high school early and getting a GED, you may need to resist the intimidation of a culture that insists graduation is necessary.  Instead, you should take a rational look at your own goals and circumstances to make a correct choice for your life.

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